Two Tumultuous Months Ahead in Europe and the Middle East
Opinion Letter
Here is what possibly lies ahead of January 2025, when Trump starts his second term:
- Russia and Ukraine are grandstanding by using their most destructive missiles and drones against each other. Russia keeps talking about nuclear options. Ukraine is authorized to use long range missiles against targets deep inside Russia. Both sides are trying to secure maximum gains before Trump forces them into some sort of a peace accord.
- In return for pressures on Ukraine to agree to a peace accord, Russia and Syria are pressured to block Iran's transfer of weapons to Hezbollah through Syria. This would help Israel and Trump's goal of weakening Hezbollah enough to force them into accepting Israel's terms of cease fire. With more than half of their infrastructure and leadership ranks eliminated, and without strong support by Iran, Hezbollah would take years to recover militarily and politically.
- Trump seem to be poised to restart economic pressures on Iran. There are rumors China is already slowing down oil purchases from Iran. By economically weakening Iran and Hezbollah, Trump hopes to bring them to a regional peace accord, spearheaded by Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan and Israel, that recognizes the states of Israel and Palestine (under moderate factions not HAMAS). It would take years for Gaza to rebuild its infrastructure so they would heavily depend on economic help by rich Arab states and political sponsorship by the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank. HAMAS, like Hezbollah may remain on life support in a weakened state for years.
- As the Israel-Syria tensions intensify, Erdogan seems to be advancing Turkey's territorial gains inside Syria's Kurdish regions. Erdogan also seems unhappy about not being a player in the upcoming peace accord (Israel-Saudi Arabia) so he is using harsh rhetoric against Israel, appealing to Palestinians and aggrieved Muslims worldwide. Turkey may even host HAMAS leaders if they are forced to leave Gaza. This gives Turkey's Erdogan a spiritual position among Muslims, hoping to replace Iran as Israel's main critic, except Turkey heavily relies on economic trade with Europe and Israel so Erdogan's leadership may be mostly symbolic.
- In Iran, IRGC Chief, Commander Salami has repeatedly issued harsh warnings and pledged an "unimaginable" response to Israel's attack on Iran. Yet, as of now, the response has not materialized perhaps because of the diplomatic negotiations behind closed doors. These negotiations are buying both Israel and Iran some precious time, for Israel to weaken Hezbollah beyond the point of recovery, and for Iran to speed up its nuclear program perhaps towards weapon grade enrichment levels. So Hezbollah's resistance will buy Iran more time for its nuclear program. Today, Iran declared it is speeding up its nuclear enrichment after being rebuked by I.A.E.A..
Related to Peace:
- Jeffrey Sachs Warns against War with Iran as a Great Ancient Civilization
- Hearing Both Sides of Iran-Israel Missile Attacks
- US Media Quote Young Iranian Americans on Israel Palestine Conflict
- Iranian-American Father Blames Biden for his Son's Death
- Whitney Webb Warns Against Intelligence Agents Promoting US-Iran War
- A Simple Guide to How Your Brain and Body Communicate, Balance or Burn Out
- Video: Iranian Guards and US Navy Confront Over Oil Tanker in Sea of Oman
- Videos: Clash Between Armed Anti-Fascism and Pro-Trump Protesters
- Video: The Meaning of Human Life According to Pepe Mujica, The World's Poorest President
- Coronavirus Leading to Divorce of Supposedly Lovers!
- Iranian American Model Snubs Trump with Creative Gown in The GRAMMYs
- Iran, The Land of Diversity: New Genome Study Shows Iran's Population Very Heterogenous
- Some Iranians Still Indignant at US Actions: From 1953 Coup and Helping Saddam Gas Iranians to Support of Taliban and Downing of Iranian Passenger Flight
- This US Presidential Candidate is Against War with Iran and by Some Accounts A Winner of Democratic Debate
- A US-Iran War Can Start in Persian Gulf by A Third Party, According to Libertarian Congressman (Video)
Related to Trump:
- Reactions to Trump's Election
- Video: Kennedy, a Former Democrat, Speaks of Widespread Corruption
- US Congressman Discusses Trump, Iran and His Life Story from Rags to Riches
- Donors to Senator's Legal Defense Linked to MEK and Trump's Son-in-law
- Trump's Shocking Disclosure About Iran
- Nuclear Talks, Biden and a Heartfelt Letter by a Mourning Iranian Father
- VP Pence, Designer of Visa Ban for Iranians, Thanks Iranian American Heart Surgeon for Saving His Life
- Iranian Celebrities Paid to Promote Trump Partners in Dubai; DAMAC Properties
- Loyalist Iranian Flag Among Trump Supporters Who Stormed the US Capitol
- Secret Negotiations, US Elections Will Decide Release of Iranian Assets
- Iranian American Lawyer Challenging a Trumpist Veteran in Texas
- Tehran Cemetery in Pictures: Coronavirus Death Toll Surges in Iran
- Trump's Supreme Court Nominee Helped Militant Iranian Group
- Ilhan Omar Replies to Trump's Anti-Immigrant Comments
- Advisor to Iranian Leader Implicitly Threatens Trump's Life for Assassination of Iranian General
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